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The 2023 NFL playoffs the place whittled all the way down to 4 groups on Sunday. Within the AFC, enthusiasts will likely be handled to a rematch of ultimate 12 months’s conference-title recreation because the Cincinnati Bengals consult with the Kansas Town Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. The Bengals disillusioned the Expenses (27-10) in Buffalo as 5.5-point underdogs within the divisional spherical. The Chiefs held off Jacksonville (27-20) as 9.5-point house favorites.
Within the NFC, the Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers each held function house favorites to arrange a conflict between the top-two seeds within the NFC Championship Sport. The Eagles ruled the New York Giants (38-7) as 7.5-point chalk. The 49ers lined in a hard-fought 19-12 victory over Dallas as four-point favorites.
Whilst each house groups have opened as favorites in subsequent Sunday’s conference-title video games, the margins are narrow.
49ers vs. Eagles Odds
| Crew | Unfold | Moneyline | Overall | Date/Time |
| 49ers | +2.5 (+100) | +125 | O 45.5 (-110) | Sunday, Jan. 29 |
| Eagles | -2.5 (-120) | -145 | U 45.5 (-110) | 3:00 p.m. EST |
The road for the NFC Championship Sport in reality opened at Eagles -1.5. It grew to two.5 simply mins after it opened and has stayed there for a number of hours. However juice is now closely skewed to Philadelphia (-120), indicating that cash continues to be coming in at the Eagles and the road may transfer to a few flat.
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The moneyline presentations equivalent motion. The hole moneyline odds had been a slender -118/+100 in Philly’s prefer. As of newsletter time, that had grown to -144/+122 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
The whole has dropped considerably, opening at 47 and temporarily falling to 45.5.
ATS developments strongly prefer the Eagles at house
The early line motion is comprehensible. Whilst the Eagles are most effective 9-9 ATS at the 12 months, that quantity improves dramatically to 7-3 ATS at house. Directly-up, Philly is 7-2 at Lincoln Monetary Box. Their most-recent setback at house got here in Week 17 in opposition to the Saints (20-10) with backup QB Gardner Minshew on the helm. Their most effective different house loss this season used to be a surprising 32-21 loss to Washington in Week 10 as 11-point favorites.
The 49ers’ document presentations a opposite development. San Francisco is an outstanding 13-6 ATS at the 12 months, however most effective 3-4 ATS in true street video games. In addition they gained and lined in opposition to Arizona (38-10) in a neutral-site recreation in Mexico Town. The Niners have most effective crushed one playoff workforce at the street this season: Seattle (21-13) in Week 15.
Each groups skewed somewhat to the over. The Eagles are 10-8 over/underneath after the divisional spherical, whilst the 49ers are 10-9.
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Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds
| Crew | Unfold | Moneyline | Overall | Date/Time |
| Bengals | +1 (-110) | -105 | O 47.5 (-115) | Sunday, Jan. 29 |
| Chiefs | -1 (-110) | -115 | U 47.5 (-105) | 6:30 p.m. EST |
Whilst the road used to be transferring towards the house workforce within the NFC Championship, the other used to be true of the AFC name recreation. A rematch of ultimate 12 months, the Bengals/Chiefs unfold opened at Kansas Town -2.5 however in an instant moved in prefer of the reigning AFC-champion Bengals.
As of Monday morning, the purpose unfold used to be sitting at only a unmarried level and the moneyline used to be just about even (-115/-105 in prefer of KC) after the Chiefs opened at -134.
The whole had proven an much more dramatic decline than the 49ers/Eagles matchup. Oddsmakers opened the Cincinnati/Kansas Town general at a reasonably top 50.5. Ten hours later, it had dropped a complete 3 issues to 47.5.
The pondering in the back of the unique general is reasonably glaring. The Week 13 regular-season assembly between the groups – performed in Cincinnati – ended 27-24 in prefer of the Bengals (51 general issues). Ultimate season’s AFC Championship completed with the very same scoreline, albeit in additional time.
Bengals crushing the quantity at the street, Chiefs fight at house
In opposition to the unfold, Cincinnati has the second-best mark within the NFL this season, now sitting at 13-5 ATS after simply protecting within the divisional spherical as 5.5-point underdogs to Buffalo. They’ve been even higher at the street (8-2 ATS) than at house (7-3). The Bengals have gained ten in a row straight-up and long past 8-2 ATS in that span. Each ATS losses got here in opposition to division-rival Baltimore via part some extent.
The highly-thought-of Chiefs, who’ve been pressured to hide massive numbers on a weekly foundation, are a dark 6-11-1 ATS this season and simply 2-6-1 ATS at house. KC bettors will really feel spurned after Saturday’s ATS loss to the Jags as 9.5-point favorites. Jacksonville kicked a box function with underneath 30 seconds to play to trim the result in seven and get the backdoor quilt.
The groups are a blended 15-20-1 over/underneath at the 12 months, with Kansas Town going 8-10 and Cincinnati 7-10-1. Each groups stayed neatly underneath their totals within the divisional spherical. The Bengals/Expenses general closed at 48.5 and stayed underneath via 11.5 issues. The Jaguars/Chiefs general closed at 52 flat and stayed underneath via 5 issues.
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Each conference-championship video games will happen subsequent Sunday (Jan. 29) with 49ers/Eagles kicking off at 3 p.m. EST at Lincoln Monetary Box in Philadelphia, adopted via Bengals/Chiefs at 6:30 p.m. EST at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas Town.
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